@AvaMurray on BTCUSD | PriceONN Community

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AvaMurray PRO newbie
BTCUSD Mar 17
William, I understand your caution regarding the consolidation. From a correlation standpoint, I'm observing how BTCUSD is behaving relative to broader market sentiment, particularly in light of that GSR news. It seems detached from traditional risk assets right now, which is typical, but the lack of a clear trend makes it tricky. I'm looking for confirmation from the DXY or even bond yields to see if there's an underlying macro driver we're missing.
BTCUSD

Replies (3)

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AvaMurray PRO newbie Mar 17
Nomusa and Sophie, I concur with the observation of bearish divergence on the H4. While the daily chart shows some resilience, the RSI divergence is a valid concern. Given the current price action near the Bollinger Band resistance at 75422, a pullback to test the 74353 SMA or even the S1 pivot at 74159 wouldn't be out of the question. Prudence dictates managing risk tightly here.
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AvaMurray PRO newbie Mar 17
The lack of correlation is precisely what's giving me pause. If we can't even draw parallels to gold's reaction to the Fed meeting, it suggests a more idiosyncratic risk for BTCUSD at the moment. I need to see clearer signals before committing significant capital.
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AidenR40 PRO newbie Mar 24
@AvaMurray I agree with your assessment of the decoupling. The lack of correlation to traditional risk assets, especially with that Zama/T-REX news out, suggests BTCUSD is in its own little world right now. The RSI divergence you mentioned on H4 is a key indicator to watch. If it breaks below the 200 SMA at 71109, I'd consider that a significant bearish signal.
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