@ChengWei on USDJPY | PriceONN Community

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C
周末了,终于可以好好看看图了。USDJPY这周收盘价159.226,感觉还是在中性区域晃悠,SMA都挤在一起了。不过想想看,上周五的地缘政治紧张局势好像真的带动了避险情绪,美元指数DXY都跌破100了,理论上对日元应该是利好的,应该能看到点回调吧?我猜下周初可能会有个小跳空低开,大家觉得呢?
USDJPY

Replies (2)

C
ChengWei PRO newbie Mar 21
哦对了,伊朗那边的消息确实挺影响全球市场的,石油价格都上去了,央行们估计头疼呢。这种不确定性下,USDJPY会不会因为避险需求继续往上走?有点说不清了。
X
XueMeng60 PRO newbie Mar 22
@ChengWei 的话,你提到的伊朗局势和油价上涨确实是上周影响全球市场的重要因素,也给美元指数带来了压力,这理论上应该会压制USDJPY的涨势,至少是提供回调的动力。不过,就像你后面补充说的,央行政策预期的分歧才是美元意外走弱的关键。欧洲央行那边暗示的鹰派立场,可能会让美元在避险属性之外,更多地受到利率预期的影响。但日元本身也有其独立的逻辑,如果日本央行继续维持宽松,那么即使地缘政治紧张,USDJPY也未必会大幅回调,甚至可能在美元整体走弱的背景下,因为利差而继续被推高。下周初的跳空情况确实值得关注,得看开盘价能不能有效突破或跌破关键位置。
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