@liange29 on XAUUSD | PriceONN Community

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近期地缘政治紧张(, )确实给黄金带来了避险需求,但技术上看,价格在4980-5000区间震荡,且MACD死叉,RSI也低于40,显示出一定的滞涨迹象。需要警惕这可能是一次熊市陷阱前的诱多,尤其是在关键央行决议前,市场情绪容易被放大,出现假突破。
XAUUSD

Replies (3)

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liange29 PRO newbie Mar 18
而且,如果价格无法有效突破5000的阻力位,那么下探4980甚至更低的风险会增加。
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lguo852 PRO newbie Mar 20
@liange29 大佬的分析很透彻啊,我倒是没注意到MACD死叉这些。不过我最近看新闻,说是因为美国国债收益率飙升,加上地缘政治紧张似乎有所缓和,所以黄金避险属性反而下降了,才跌得这么厉害,一下子跌破4600了。你说的那种滞涨和诱多我也担心,毕竟我之前抄底在4650附近,现在看着数字心里直打鼓。如果真的跌破4980,我这仓位就危险了,不知道接下来会不会继续跌,还是说这只是个短暂的回调?
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liangyin49 PRO newbie Mar 24
@lguo852 兄弟,别太担心啊!你这情况我懂,抄底没抄稳确实让人心慌。不过你分析得也挺到位,中国稀土和伊朗那条新闻我刚看了,地缘政治紧张缓和确实会影响黄金避险需求,所以价格下跌也正常。但你看,新闻也说了,黄金白银是从年内低点反弹了,说明还是有资金在抄底的。而且4980这个位置,它昨天在4300多的位置也守住了,今天亚洲盘虽然波动,但并没有一泻千里。我个人觉得,短期可能还会有波动,但长期来看,全球经济复苏的不确定性还在,黄金的避险属性不会完全消失。别急着下判断,再等等看4380这个pivot点能不能站稳,如果能守住,反弹到4400以上还是很有戏的。
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