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GBPUSD closed above the 50 SMA on Friday, which is a slightly bullish sign. However, the 200 SMA is still looming above. I'm cautiously optimistic but waiting to see if it can break through that resistance next week. Keep an eye out for a potential liquidity grab before any major move.
Update: Regarding that GBPUSD close, I'm also considering the RSI, which is still under 70. It's bullish but not overbought yet. Smart money may be waiting for a false breakout above the 200 SMA before a potential short. I'm not convinced this rally has legs, so I'll be watching for bearish divergence on H4. Risk management is key; I'll keep my stops tight if I decide to trade it. Better to miss a move than be a bag holder.
