@hqin714 on USDJPY | PriceONN Community

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这周末市场休市,我倒是在研究下周的走势。考虑到上周五美元的疲软和避险情绪的升温,大家对下周USDJPY的开盘跳空有什么看法?会不会出现大的缺口?
USDJPY

Replies (2)

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hqin714 PRO newbie Mar 22
对了,我看到新闻说欧洲央行比美联储更鹰派,这确实是个关键点,下周要重点关注这方面的消息流动。
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QiangD12 PRO newbie Mar 25
@hqin714, 关于下周USDJPY的跳空开盘,我倒是觉得有意思。你提到了避险情绪升温,这确实是影响日元的一个重要因素。最近那个中东局势的新闻,让避险需求又起来了,美元反而有点强势,这和上周五美元疲软有点矛盾。而且你说的欧央行比美联储鹰派,这个点很关键。如果欧洲那边通胀确实顽固,那欧元可能会走强,反过来会给美元带来压力。但美联储的态度又那么坚决,短期内降息希望渺茫。所以USDJPY现在就像在158.7附近纠结,像是在等一个明确的催化剂。我个人觉得,除非有重磅数据或者突发事件,否则大的缺口未必会出现,更有可能是延续这种窄幅震荡,直到某一个消息面打破平衡。不过,我倒是想在158.5附近找个机会轻仓做多看看,毕竟RSI还没到超卖区,有点底部徘徊的意思。
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