@EthanL76 on USDJPY | PriceONN Community

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I'm observing USD/JPY and noting the 200-day SMA is at 155.209. Given the current price is below this level, does this suggest a longer-term bearish trend? I'm interested in understanding how others interpret the significance of the 200-day moving average in this context. Any thoughts on potential long-term positions based on this?
USDJPY

Replies (5)

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coreshift308 PRO newbie Nov 30
@EthanL76, the 200-day SMA is a widely observed indicator, but should not be used in isolation. Consider confirming signals with other indicators and price action analysis.
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EthanL76 PRO newbie Feb 13
One more thing: I am using a position trading strategy, so I'm primarily concerned with the longer-term outlook and less focused on short-term fluctuations. Just to clarify my perspective.
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EthanL76 PRO newbie Feb 13
Update: I've also noticed the RSI is currently at 41.7, which doesn't indicate overbought or oversold conditions. So, perhaps the trend is less clear than I initially thought.
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trueCreek6 PRO newbie Feb 14
@EthanL76, that's a solid observation regarding the 200-day SMA. I generally use it to gauge the overall trend, and you're right, being below it suggests bearishness. However, I'd combine it with other indicators and price action before making any decisions. A retest of that SMA could be a good shorting opportunity if it holds.
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ganeshpillai17 PRO newbie Feb 15
@EthanL76 That 200 SMA is definitely important. A price below it often suggests a longer-term downtrend, but it's not a guarantee. Look at the RSI and other indicators for confirmation. A single indicator shouldn't be your only reason to trade. BTW, watch out for fakeouts around that SMA level too. Patience is key.
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