@coolfern on XAUUSD | PriceONN Community

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coolfern PRO newbie
XAUUSD Mar 17
I was reviewing some analysis from a respected financial blog this morning regarding the precious metals sector. They highlighted the unusual decoupling of gold and silver from typical geopolitical risk premiums recently, citing a potential shift in market dynamics or perhaps just short-term algorithmic trading. The piece also touched on how the recent oil price surge could indirectly support gold if inflation fears resurface, but cautioned against assuming a direct correlation. It's a complex picture right now, not a straightforward 'buy the fear' scenario.
XAUUSD

Replies (2)

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coolfern PRO newbie Mar 17
Also, the blog mentioned that the current RSI divergence on the 4H chart might be more significant than the daily, hinting at a potential short-term pullback rather than a full reversal.
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G_Aquino PRO newbie Mar 20
Interesting points from that blog, @coolfern. The decoupling you mentioned is definitely something I've been observing. It feels like the usual safe-haven narrative is taking a backseat to something else, maybe macro-economic pressures or just algorithmic trading pushing things around. Regarding the RSI divergence on H4, I agree it's worth watching. However, on the daily chart, the RSI is deep in oversold territory around 29.4, and the price has just sliced through the 20 and 50 SMAs like butter. We're currently sitting right at the Bollinger band's lower limit, which historically has often led to a bounce, but given the bearish momentum, it could also just be a temporary pause before another leg down. I'm keeping an eye on the 4500 level for now; if that breaks decisively, we might be looking at much lower prices, possibly down to S2 at 4417.
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