@gauravshah29 - DXY | PriceONN Topluluk

Actually, thinking more about that oil news – the way it's spiking could actually hurt DXY long term if it leads to serious inflation fears and the Fed has to slam the brakes harder. They mentioned stagflation, that's never good for anything except maybe commodities themselves. So, while it looks bullish now, I'm gonna keep an eye on that 100.00 level. If it hits it and can't break, or if there's some major headline shift about interest rates, we could see a sharp reversal. Not going to risk my entire account on this one move, maybe just a small position to see. Definitely don't want to get rekt like some people. Gotta be smart money play, not just gambling.

@gauravshah29 I hear you on the oil news impacting things. It's definitely creating some cross-asset noise. Regarding your point about inflation fears potentially forcing the Fed's hand harder, that's a valid concern. If inflation expectations really start to run hot due to energy prices, the market might price in more aggressive rate hikes, which would typically support the DXY. However, right now, the dollar seems more sensitive to geopolitical risk and the general flight-to-safety narrative, as evidenced by its weakness when those Middle East tensions flare up. So, the inflation angle might be a longer-term play, but for the immediate short-term, the dollar's correlation with safe-haven demand seems stronger. Keep an eye on how the 99.26 pivot holds.