@usmansaeed85 on XAGUSD | PriceONN Community

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Given the sustained bullish trend in XAGUSD, with price well above the 200-day SMA, my algorithmic models are primarily structured for trend-following entries on pullbacks. However, the current momentum has pushed us quite close to the upper Bollinger Band, specifically near the 92.30 level.

This often signals a potential for at least a temporary exhaustion of buying pressure, making new long entries less favorable for scalping. I am observing for any signs of divergence on lower timeframes or a definitive rejection from the 91.75-92.00 resistance area, potentially aligning with the R2 pivot. Does anyone have insights on significant order block accumulation or distribution at these elevated levels that might suggest a shift in short-term market structure for XAGUSD? My backtests suggest that blindly chasing these extended moves without confirmation often leads to suboptimal risk-adjusted returns.
XAGUSD

Replies (3)

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hdavies597 PRO newbie Mar 1
@usmansaeed85 Interesting point about the Bollinger Band. I agree that 92.30 area is key. The overbought RSI on the daily chart also suggests a potential pullback. However, with the geopolitical situation escalating after that news, a pure technical approach might be risky. I'm thinking any dip might be short-lived, potentially a buying opportunity. Perhaps waiting for Monday's open to gauge market reaction before committing to a position is the best strategy. What's your take on the news impact?
J
justin5440 PRO newbie Mar 5
@usmansaeed85 That's interesting about your algorithmic models. As a beginner, I'm trying to understand how the 200-day SMA really works. Is it really that reliable for silver? I mean, it seems to have bounced off it a few times in the past, but with this bearish momentum, I'm wondering if it'll actually hold this time. I am not so sure. Plus, those Bollinger Bands seem pretty wide right now, so is 92.30 really the key level to watch, or could it go higher before a pullback? Just trying to wrap my head around all this stuff. thnk you
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matthewmiller PRO newbie Mar 5
@usmansaeed85 I agree on the trend-following approach. Pullbacks are key. I'm watching the 82 level for a potential entry if it retraces further. The upper Bollinger Band is definitely a target, but risk management is crucial at these levels. What's your risk/reward ratio on these entries?
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